3. Now, let us also look at India’s military transformation. This requires a dedicated budgeting- which is out of reach, if India goes alone. However, in military alliances like NATO, even weaker nations get an inherent security shield without heavy costs. This is the type of a security equation which India needs to peg. But then, what will be the costs to India’s autonomy? The real issue again comes down to analysing that can India keep on denying China’s aggression on its own or can a more open and tailored military coalition with America could be the answer.
4. Now coming back to China’s misadventure in Ladakh. It is quite clear that the Indian military has blown the myth of PLA’s invincibility like what the Vietnamese did in 1979, when the PLA had invaded them. The ramifications of this Indian impregnability have already sent ripples of confidence all over the world. India is not only defending its sovereignty but is signalling to the world to unite and fight shoulder to shoulder with India for the victory of the good over evil.
It had also given a breather to America whilst they were engaged in their election process. The Free world is under threat, if not today then tomorrow, as China has already declared that they will have their military forces at par with the USA by 2027. President elect Joe Biden had always envisioned holding a Democratic World conference to strengthen democracies all over the world.
Such a conference is already being planned in February 2021.The democratic alliance concept needs to be further strengthened and should in due time by 2025 or so be backed up by a NATO Plus type of Military structure to counter the Chinese expansion. This kind of initiative under the leadership of America can alone stymie the degradation of the United Nations and the Free world. Thus they can support India and stymie the PLA superiority, if any.
5. The Balance of Power, as a concept, is fast altering in favour of a communist China. This balance needs to be immediately tilted back in favour of nations following the rule-based International laws. There is immediate requirement of America restoring its primacy in the United Nations and promote the ‘Collective Security’ agenda for survival of the planet. India is holding along the ‘Line of Actual Control’ (LAC) against China at a huge cost.
The same (as already covered above) point needs emphasis again. Thus, there is again a case, which requires, legitimising grants towards the costs of weapons and equipment, which is needed by India for this thankless job. All Developed Western nations need to chip in.
This could be by giving one-time grants to India for the defence purchases as well initiate a new process of an “On Lease” method for hiring strategic assets like the Sixth Generation Fighters or other game changing assets like B2 Stealth Bombers etc. The Indian pilots can be trained in peace time to operate the same.Because,India is not only serving as a ‘Pivot in Asia’ concept but actually is holding PLA’S 20-25 Divisions equivalent, which otherwise would have been available for overwhelming Taiwan or Japan.
Thus, India’s position in the Himalayas, along the ‘LAC’ is a new “Geopolitical Pivot” of time. It can be actually coined and named as the ‘Pivot of World Peace’ (POWP) requiring global support.
6. Further, the inking of ‘Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement’ (BECA) completes finalisation of four key pacts between the two countries, India and USA, which are crucial to significantly expand the strategic ties.
7. Further, the “China Pakistan Economic Corridor” (CPEC) happens to be the flagship project of this ‘OBOR’ drive. This has shifted China’s main effort towards a western land route, where India’s Himalayan defences lie. Beyond doubt, both the above theories need to be replaced by a shift of the Geostrategic Pivot of the 21st century to the Indian Himalayas. Here lies the main contest between the three military powers, China, India and America. Management of this ‘conflict Zone’ will dictate the outcome of tomorrows’ global security. Subsequently, this can even become a flash point for nuclear exchanges and the third world war. Let us further understand this argument of this new Himalayan theory. In this context, the ‘Indo-US Strategic Partnership’ becomes the defining geopolitical event of this century and that the new US President designate has in a way confirmed the same.
Therefore, both India & the USA need to work on a more flexible but robust partnership with mutual readjustments so as to allow India, its own geopolitical space and autonomy for India’s future growth. This will in turn enable India, to emerge as an independent and strong military power rather than becoming a puppet of the West, as that does not allow inclusive and independent growth. Mutually, both India and the USA have to reach out, to be able to knit a workable Strategic Partnership which gives enough confidence to India to “Get off the Fence towards the West”.
Views expressed above are the author’s own.
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